The keystone: Anticipations and the Fabian storm
At Spade House, the house at Sandgate he built for an invalid’s life, Wells began the book he later called “the keystone to the main arch of my work.” Anticipations was serialised in the Fortnightly Review from April 1901 and appeared as a book in November. There is no Traveller and no dinner party; the extrapolation is made in Wells’s own voice. It starts with locomotion: once motor vehicles on special roads raise the speed at which a worker can travel, cities will dissolve into suburban “urban regions”; the old order of gentry and labourers will break into shareholders, “the abyss” and a capable class of engineers and administrators; democracy is, as he later summarised it, “the political expression of a phase of social liquefaction”; and that capable class will at last “consciously” become the State—a New Republic heading for a world state. Wells himself later judged the chapters on democracy and synthesis “the most imperfect and the most interesting,” and admitted his great miss: he had predicted Russia would be “only another and vaster Ireland.”
The last chapter must be quoted, not summarised. The New Republic will check the multiplication of “those who fall behind a certain standard of social efficiency”; Wells foresees “this euthanasia of the weak and sensual” and judges that “to kill under the seemly conditions science will afford is a far less offensive thing” than punishment by pain. He insists the new state will treat people “certainly not as races,” admitting “white, black, red, or brown; the efficiency will be the test”—and then asks what of “those swarms of black, and brown, and dirty-white, and yellow people, who do not come into the new needs of efficiency? Well, the world is a world, not a charitable institution, and I take it they will have to go.” The same pages refuse special treatment for Jews while entertaining the charge that the Jew is a “parasite on the apparatus of credit.”
Wells did not stay exactly there, but the record moves slowly. By his own 1934 account Mankind in the Making (1903) was worth reading only for its “squashing of ‘Positive Eugenics’,” the breeding of the best. Yet on 16 May 1904, replying to Francis Galton at the Sociological Society, he said: “It is in the sterilisation of failures, and not in the selection of successes for breeding, that the possibility of an improvement of the human stock lies.” Readers who now call him a prophet of progress should hold both texts in view.
Anticipations made him famous among reformers, and he joined the Fabian Society in February 1903. A Modern Utopia (1905) invented a voluntary ruling order, the Samurai, and Wells set out to turn the Fabians into one. His paper “The Faults of the Fabian” (9 February 1906) mocked the society as “still half a drawing-room society” lodged in a “cellar”—short, as Pease summarised it, of imaginative megalomania; a reform committee followed, and in December 1906 at Essex Hall he moved an amendment in a speech of an hour and a quarter. George Bernard Shaw answered that it amounted to a vote of no confidence in the old leadership, and Wells withdrew it. Edward Pease, the secretary and one of that “Old Gang,” wrote that Wells was “a masterful person, very fond of his own way, very uncertain what that way was.” Wells resigned in September 1908 and later called it the “storm in the Fabian tea-cup,” confessing “bad judgment, gusty impulse and real inexcusable vanity.”